 Famous predictions of junk
Added: 11/30/2006 |
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Famous predictions come and go, some come to pass, some do not but the effort never changes. People try to divine the path of the road that lies before them. Sure it seems insane, but man has attempted to predict his fate since the dawn of time. Why, for comfort? No. Predictions are made in the hopes that perhaps mistakes might be avoided. Still, mistakes are made at every turn.
It's human nature to try and divine the future. There are famous predictions of fires, famous predictions of the end of the world, famous predictions of presidential elections, and even famous predictions of sporting events. There are famous predictions from astrologers, famous predictions from Nostradamus, even famous predictions from presidents, but the fact of the matter is, they are only educated guesses. Nobody can predict the future with an exact certainty. The best that you can do is take all the available information and make an educated guess. There's a famous picture of Harry S. Truman holding up a newspaper with a headline that reads: Dewey wins. It was talking about the fact that Dewey won the presidential election and Truman lost, but there never was a president Dewey because Truman won that election. There was a president Truman in spite of the fact that President Truman went to bed believing that he had lost the race and would soon be abandoning the post of president and the cozy confines of the White House. Predictions are a crap shoot at best. Even if you have a fifty/fifty chance you have a fifty percent chance of being wrong. That's why gambling is a lucrative business for the house and not the gambler, because the odds are that fifty percent of the time at least you are going to lose, so the money is in favor of the house, and sooner or later they will win it. Factor in point spreads on top of your natural fifty percent chance of winning, and your percentile of chance of winning just dropped drastically. Predictions are fun to do and fun to play with but very hard to get correct if not impossible. Even astrologer and professional gamblers only have a certain amount of success. They are only so much better at it than anyone else. So predictions can be fun, but not counted on, though it is eerie how accurately some people can read personalities if you've ever had a reading done. Readings are less about predictions than they are about reading personality traits. You can read people's personality traits based on the time of their birth, the tides, the placement of the e sun and the stars and so forth.
Predictions are a risky business. Ask anyone that makes a living on Wall Street how their ulcers feel? They make predictions on business futures for a living and they spend tons of other people's money in doing so. Stock Brokers predict for a living on a daily basis all day long, from bell ringing until the bitter end. Stock Brokers have fun, I'm sure, but losing money is no fun for anyone. Imagine if you had to make predictions for a living, if you have to wager all your money on it, everything that you had on one prediction. It doesn't sound like an easy proposition, does it? To put your child's food money all on one or two or three predictions doesn't sound like an enviable situation to me.
Predictions can be an enjoyable thing to dabble in, but when it comes to backing a prediction up, that's where the fun stops. It's much better to look at predictions as a form of entertainment versus something to hang your hat on, something that is gospel, something that you are going to make a living on.
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